Comparison of economic growth statistics of the Statistics Center and the Central Bank

According to Borna, while the Statistics Center of Iran announced economic growth of negative 1.9 percent in the first six months of the year, the Central Bank of Iran announced positive economic growth of 1.3 percent for this period. Also, non-oil economic growth was negative 1.3 percent according to the statistics announced by the Statistics Center, but according to the statistics of the Central Bank, it was calculated positive 1.4 percent.

According to the Statistics Center, economic growth during the second quarter of 1399 was positive 0.2 percent and economic growth without oil was negative 0.2 percent. Meanwhile, according to the Central Bank, the country’s GDP in the second quarter of 1399 experienced a positive growth of 5.1 percent and economic growth without oil was positive 3.2 percent. The statistics of both sources confirm the exit of the Iranian economy from the recession in the second quarter of 1399. Also, according to the Central Bank, the non-oil sector also emerged from the recession in the summer of 1399, but data from the Statistics Center of Iran still shows the continuation of the recession in this sector.

In general, the statistics of the Central Bank have been more optimistic than the statistics of the Statistics Center of Iran. According to the Central Bank, in the first half of 1399, in the gross domestic product sector by production factors, all components except the service group, which experienced negative value added growth of 0.2%, other factors were associated with positive value added growth: Group Industries and Mines grew by 5.4 percent, the Agricultural Group grew by 4.4 percent and the Oil Group grew by 0.8 percent.

Meanwhile, according to the statistics of the Statistics Center of Iran, the value added growth of the agricultural group was positive 1.7 percent, the growth of the oil group was negative 5.9 percent, which was very different from the Central Bank statistics, the growth of the positive industry and mines group was 2 percent and the service group It was also negative 3.5 percent.

Also in the expenditures sector, the Statistics Center of Iran for the first half of this year, the growth of private and public sector consumption has calculated negative 1.1 percent and positive 12.2 percent, respectively; At the same time, the central bank announced the growth of consumption in these two sectors as negative 2.6 percent and positive 4.1 percent, respectively.

In the trade sector, while the Statistics Center of Iran announced that exports of goods and services and imports of goods and services decreased by 47% and 56%, respectively, the Central Bank announced the growth of these two sectors negative 21% and negative 38%, respectively. has done.

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